2010 Southeastern Conference Tournament Preview
NCAA Basketball Betting Lines
03/09/2010 -
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The competition level will be through the
roof in Nashville this week, as all 12 SEC teams will compete in the 51st
annual conference tournament. On the line is an automatic bid to the NCAA
Tournament, and the majority of the teams in the league are well aware that
their hopes of earning a ticket to the "Big Dance" depend solely on winning
this event.
Kentucky has won more SEC Tournament titles than all of the other conference
members combined, and the Wildcats enter this year's field as the top seed
from the East Division. The Wildcats will attempt to capture their first crown
since 2004, but they figure to be a top seed in the NCAA Tournament regardless
of their finish in this event. The East Division is considerably stronger than
the West, as it can be argued that the best four teams in the SEC all come
from the East. Vanderbilt (E-2), Tennessee (E-3) and Florida (E-4) are all
capable of knocking off Kentucky and winning this tournament. Vanderbilt and
Tennessee have the necessary records to reach the NCAA Tournament without
winning this league tourney. In regard to the West, even top-seeded
Mississippi State has a shaky resume' and needs to cut down the nets in
Nashville. The lone team in the field that has never won the SEC Tournament is
South Carolina. The first round of this event begins on Thursday, as the third
through sixth seeds in both divisions will be in action. The top two seeds in
both divisions will open play on Friday, March 12th, in the quarterfinal
round, and after semifinal action on Saturday, the championship game will be
played on "Selection Sunday".
The first of four first-round games pits the Alabama Crimson Tide (W-4)
against the South Carolina Gamecocks (E-5). Alabama has won this tournament
six times, the second most in the league, but the last crown was captured way
back in 1991. Still, the Tide is 57-43 in this event. South Carolina, as
mentioned, is still in search of its first title, and the Gamecocks are 16-18
in SEC Tournament affairs. Alabama beat South Carolina by nine points in the
only regular-season meeting between the teams. The Crimson Tide depend heavily
on their defense to win games, as they are second in the conference in scoring
defense (64.6 ppg). Mikhail Torrance (15.4 ppg, 5.3 apg) and JaMychal Green
(14.3 ppg, 7.0 rpg) are clearly the two best players on the roster for 'Bama.
As for South Carolina, it possess the league's leading scorer in Devan Downey
(22.6 ppg), and the senior is also handing out 3.5 apg. Unfortunately, the
Gamecocks are last in the league in free-throw percentage, assists and
rebounding margin.
Tennessee (E-3) and LSU (W-6) are slated to do battle on Thursday afternoon in
what may be the most lopsided matchup of the first round. The Vols have won
the SEC Tournament four times, but it has been 31 years since their last
title. Last season, Tennessee reached the championship game, only to fall to
Mississippi State in a 64-61 final. As for LSU, it captured its lone SEC crown
back in 1980, so it can certainly relate to Tennessee's long wait for a
championship. The Vols and Tigers played just once during the regular season,
and Tennessee escaped Baton Rouge with a five-point win. The Vols own the
second-best scoring margin in the SEC (+9.8 ppg), surprising considering the
fact that they don't possess a single player ranked in the top 20 in the
league in scoring. Tennessee is the top team in the conference when it comes
to defending the three-point shot. As for LSU, it finished 2-14 versus SEC
opponents during the regular season, but the team did close out the campaign
with a victory and may enter this tournament with some confidence.
Unfortunately, the Tigers completely lack depth and are the lowest-scoring
team in the SEC (61.9 ppg) despite boasting two of the league's top 13
scorers, including Tasmin Mitchell (17.0 ppg, 9.5 rpg).
The Florida Gators (E-4), will do battle with Auburn (W-5) in the first round.
A 20-win season used to assure teams from major conferences a berth in the
NCAA Tournament, but teams are playing more games than ever, so Florida needs
to play well in this event to punch its ticket to the "Big Dance". The Gators
own a 32-41 all-time record in this event, but they captured three straight
titles from 2005 through 2007, so the majority of their success has been
recent. As for Auburn, it has struggled in the SEC Tournament, posting a 27-46
record, and the program's lone championship came back in 1985. The Gators beat
the Tigers by eight points in the only meeting between the teams during the
regular season. The fact that Florida is able to field a starting lineup with
five double-digit scorers is impressive. The Gators are last in the league in
blocked shots but tops in assist/turnover ratio. Auburn is the worst defensive
team in the SEC, allowing 74.0 ppg on 45.5 percent shooting by opponents. The
Tigers possess the sixth and seventh ranked scorers in the league in DeWayne
Reed (16.1 ppg) and Tay Waller (15.9 ppg).
Rounding out the pairings in the first round will be the Arkansas Razorbacks
(W-3) and the Georgia Bulldogs (E-6). Arkansas is 20-17 all-time in this event
and won its lone title back in 2000. As for Georgia, it has two championships
to its credit, the most recent of which was earned in 2008. The Razorbacks
beat the Bulldogs by four points on the road in the only regular-season
meeting between the clubs. Arkansas is ranked 11th out of 12 SEC teams in
scoring defense, and the team is last in three-point percentage defense.
Rotnei Clarke leads the Razorbacks with 15.5 ppg, and Marshawn Powell is close
behind with 15.1 ppg. Georgia's top performer is Trey Thompkins (17.7 ppg, 8.2
rpg), who ranks second in the SEC in scoring and fourth in rebounding. His
Bulldogs are 11th in scoring margin among conference teams, however, and they
are last in turnover margin.
The winner of the South Carolina/Alabama matchup will advance to the
quarterfinal round to face Kentucky. The Wildcats have won this event 25 times
and own a 111-22 record in SEC Tournament games. Still, they haven't cut down
the nets since 2004 and haven't reached the title game since 2005. Kentucky
leads the conference in many statistical categories, including scoring offense
(79.9 ppg), scoring margin (+14.4 ppg), field goal percentage (.478), field
goal percentage defense (.382), rebounding margin (+9.1 rpg) and assists (14.9
apg). Freshman sensation John Wall is averaging 17.0 ppg to go along with a
league-best 6.2 apg, and fellow rookie star DeMarcus Cousins checks in with
15.9 ppg, 10.1 rpg and 1.8 bpg. Don't forget about Patrick Patterson and his
15.0 ppg and 7.6 rpg.
The second quarterfinal game to be played on Friday pits the Ole Miss Rebels
(W-2) against either LSU or Tennessee. Ole Miss won its only SEC championship
in 1981, and the team's 23-46 conference record is far from impressive.
Rebels' standout guard Chris Warren ranks third in the SEC in scoring with
17.2 ppg and ninth in assists (3.4 apg). Ole Miss is second in the league in
scoring with 78.4 ppg, and the team shoots the ball efficiently from three-
point range. The Rebels are second in assist/turnover ratio and have the
talent in place to make a run in this event.
Mississippi State (W-1) awaits the winner of the Auburn/Florida matchup, and
that quarterfinal matchup figures to be competitive regardless of the pairing.
MSU is the defending champion of this event as mentioned, and the program has
three titles to its credit. Still, its 25-46 record at this event all-time is
poor. The man to watch for the Bulldogs is star forward/center Jarvis Varnado,
who recently became the NCAA's all-time leader in blocked shots. In addition
to his 4.8 rejections per outing, Varnado also paces the conference in
rebounding (10.6 ppg) and is scoring 13.5 ppg as well. Mississippi State is
the best defensive team in the league in regard to scoring defense (64.4 ppg),
and the club is limiting opponents to 38.4 percent shooting from the field.
Dee Bost is a tremendous distributor at point guard who ranks second in the
SEC in assists (5.4 apg).
The Vanderbilt Commodores (W-2) will play either Georgia or Arkansas in the
quarterfinals. Vandy's lone SEC Tournament title was earned way back in 1951,
by far the longest drought of any of the teams that have won the crown. The
Commodores are 29-47 in the event, but this year's team is one of the best in
recent memory. Vanderbilt is the best free-throw shooting team in the
conference, and that asset could certainly prove critical in close tournament
games. While the Commodores do lack the type of player capable of taking a
game over at the offensive end, there are three double-digit scorers in the
fold. Jermaine Beal (14.7 ppg), A.J. Ogilvy (13.9 ppg) and Jeffery Taylor
(13.9 ppg) provide plenty of balance to the lineup.
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The NFL preseason is approaching. Time for players, coaches and teams to turn over a new leaf. General managers have hired some new coaches, while coaches have added some offensive and defensive assistants to try and improve things. Here’s a look at some changes to look for in the preseason.
New York Jets: The Jets were one of the surprise teams in the NFL last season, making the playoffs under hard-driving first-year coach Eric Mangini. Mangini rebuilt the offensive line with rookies D'Brickashaw Ferguson (the No. 4 pick in the 2007 Draft) and Ohio State center (the 29th pick in the first round). This season he upgraded the defense with rookie linebacker David Harris (Michigan) while the secondary picked up a much needed top-notch corner in Pitt CB Darrelle Revis (No. 14 overall).
The Jets have added balance to the offense for QB Chad Pennington with RB Thomas Jones, essentially stolen from the Bears. He will upgrade a New York ground game that was 20th in rushing with a weak 3.5 yards per carry. They have their first true feature back since Curtis Martin. Offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer prefers ball control, like his father Marty. In preseason, behind Pennington you’ll see second-year QB Kellen Clemens and mobile newcomer QB Marques Tuiasosopo.
Jacksonville Jaguars: The heat is on Jack Del Rio in Jacksonville as the Jaguars flopped last season despite a ton of talent. Keep in mind that under Del Rio the Jaguars have been outstanding in preseason with a 12-4 SU, 11-5 ATS August mark. online football betting Their defense is loaded, it’s the offense that has been stuck in first gear the last few years.
Enter a new offensive coordinator in Dirk Koetter, the former Boise State and Arizona State pass-happy coach. He will try and upgrade a passing game that ranked 24th last season. Del Rio has criticized wide receivers and Matt Jones this summer, both of whom have battled injuries. It will be interesting to watch the “new” Jaguars passing game in preseason.
Arizona Cardinals: Word out of Arizona is that the players like new coach Ken Whisenhunt, who was the Steelers offensive coordinator last year. We think of Arizona as all-passing because their running game has been awful of late because of a poor offensive line. However, keep an eye on the running game in preseason as they’ve made a lot of changes.
The new coach brings in Russ Grimm to coach the offensive line (Grimm did a marvelous job building the Steelers line). They took Penn State OT Levi Jones in the first round and signed two offensive linemen, Mike Gandy and Al Johnson, to provide depth. Reggie Wells was moved from right tackle to left guard and they want more speed out of the offensive line for pulling and traps, a Pittsburgh staple under Bill Cowher.
Atlanta Falcons: While all the attention has been focused on QB Mike Vick’s off-field problems, new coach Bobby Petrino is revamping the Falcons from an all-running team to a more balanced one. Petrino likes the experience of backup QB Joey Harrington and he has veteran backup Chris Redman, who used to play for Petrino at Louisville and knows his offenses better than anyone. Petrino wants Vick to be more of a pocket passer.
The addition of FB Ovie Mughelli is a sign Petrino wants a power rushing attack behind a physical fullback and newcomer WR Joe Horn should upgrade what was a below average wideout corps. Petrino is changing their old zone-blocking scheme to a more traditional in-line blocking scheme and the offensive line is bigger. Rookie DE Jamaal Anderson was grabbed in the first round and the secondary got younger with former Auburn cornerback David Irons, who the Falcons think was a steal as a sixth-round pick.
Cleveland Browns: The 2007 Browns look like a double-edged sword. There was the excitement of the offseason, trading for RB Jamel Lewis, upgrading the offensive line with Wisconsin’s Joe Thomas (the No. 2 pick in the draft) and free agent LG Eric Steinbach, then trading for Notre Dame QB Brady Quinn when he fell to No. 22. GM Phil Savage and head coach Romeo Crennel feel they have a talented, balanced offense with these new pieces, plus TE >Kellen Winslow and WR Braylon Edwards.
However, were these moves made in desperation? And were they foolish ones? The Browns gave up their 2008 first-round pick for Quinn and we all know QBs take time to develop. And even first-round QBs can be busts (Joey Harrington, Akili Smith). We also don’t know if the offensive line is that much improved (31st in rushing in 2007) and they did nothing to improve a defense that was awful against the run (142 yds pg allowed).
The Browns have a new offensive coordinator in Rob Chudzinski. This is a young offense and Quinn looked tentative, indecisive and inaccurate early in camp. Crennel will play Charlie Frye, Quinn and Derek Anderson in preseason. And there is a mixed bag for rookie QBs receiving significant starts: Tim Couch (14), Kerry Collins (13), Ben Roethlisberger (13), Vince Young (13), Joey Harrington (12), Matt Leinart (11) and Kyle Boller (nine). While all the focus will be on the Browns new-look offense, I’m more concerned with the defense.
Carolina Panthers: Coach Jon Fox loves the ground game, but Carolina has made some interesting changes for 2007. Fox fired offensive coordinator Dan Henning and brings in Jeff Davidson to run the offense. Davidson has brought in zone-blocking schemes to the Panther offense, a dramatic change for a system that's been built around a power-running style.
In zone-blocking, offensive linemen are responsible for blocking any defender who appears in their zone, instead of focusing on one defender. The Broncos and Falcons have had success with the system, which features smaller, more athletic offensive linemen and can create running lanes on the inside and outside. Keep an eye in preseason on how Carolina adjusts as it will take time to learn the system. Fox has been one of the top coaches in preseason, with a 15-5 SU, 12-7-1 ATS August record.
Dallas Cowboys: WR Terrell Owens is still here, but QB Drew Bledsoe and Bill Parcells are gone. New head coach Wade Phillips takes over, replacing Parcells. He ran the Chargers defense last season. Phillips was chosen by teary-eyed owner Jerry Jones partly because he is one of the best 3-4 coaches in football and the Cowboys have loaded up on players for that scheme.
Remember that Phillips was blitz-happy with the Chargers last season and early reports out of the Dallas camp have mentioned how the Cowboys have been blitzing a lot, a departure from Parcells. The theme of the 2007 Dallas defense appears to be one of attack.
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